Not a member? Join now
touch-upbanner image

Make The Tumbling Dollar Work For You

You don't have to be a foreign exchange expert to have noticed that the dollar has been getting weaker lately. If you're a lesbian in American, chances are you've traveled outside the U.S. recently, and you've probably already noticed the trend. According to the travel industry market analysts, gays and lesbians are about four times more likely than the average American to hold a current passport.

According to a study from a few years ago, over 70% of LGBT Americans travel abroad each year, whereas the national average is 9%. Maybe we travel more because we're less likely to have children, or maybe we travel more because we're more likely to live in big cities. As far as lesbian life goes, I would conjecture that we travel to get away from that bar/club/restaurant that our ex-girlfriend frequents.

The last time you traveled outside the U.S., you probably noticed your dollar not quite getting you the souvenirs it used to. Even the Canadian dollar has bested the greenback recently, rising beyond one-to-one parity.


I'm sure many of you have stories about going to a cheap little cafe or restaurant in a country you had known a few years ago, only to discover it no longer seemed so cheap.

Whether you're planning a trip to Europe or a trip to the department store, the falling exchange rate of the dollar against most currencies will affect your pocket. When the dollar weakens, it impacts not just the exchange rates we pay when we travel abroad, but also the exchange rate applied to imported items. For some industries, like automobiles, the overseas manufacturer takes a lower profit margin, rather than increasing prices stateside. But this is generally a temporary situation and the exception. The bottom line: as the dollar falls, imports get more expensive.

Now, hold on. Is the U.S. dollar getting weaker or are the Canadian dollar and the euro getting stronger? Since exchange values are relative, it's technically the same thing to say "the dollar is weakening against the euro," versus "the euro is strengthening against the dollar." What makes these two statements different is the implied cause of the shift in value. In the case of the dollar, the value of the dollar has weakened over the past few years with respect to the euro, the pound, the Brazilian real, the Indian rupee and a host of other currencies (including, lately, yen). The U.S. dollar is being dragged down by low public and private savings rates and, now, low interest rates. Don't expect to see a reversal on the trend anytime soon.

So, how does an enterprising lesbian respond to this macro data? Do we put away our passports until this is all over? The local bar will get more exciting, anyway, right, with all the European and South American women coming through for a cheap vacation?

The are a few ways to take advantage of the dollar's decline. We can take advantage of the situation, rather than suffering through it.

1) Export. If you have a small (or medium-size) business, now is a great time to go international. This is not just for the high-powered CEOs out there. Whether you design web pages, make music or fix broken iPods, you could reap huge benefits from expanding your sales abroad. For one, your prices will look cheap to clients or consumers in other countries, which means less marketing to build your client base. Secondly, if you hold your revenues in the foreign currency, you benefit from the upside should the dollar keep falling.

2) Barter. We don't always need to rely on money. When traveling abroad, there are lots of online options for swapping apartments. Of course, it helps to live in a place like Manhattan or San Francisco for those exchanges.

3) Leave. Maybe there's a little of the migrant laborer in you. If so, now's a great time to listen to her. Maybe you'll go packing off to Dubai to bartend for a year. Or how about a summer job in Canada? With the dollar headed lower and lower, any savings you keep from foreign earnings will go that much farther when you come back to the States. The trick here, though, is managing to save (otherwise, you'll be a migrant spender, rather than a migrant laborer). If you don't yet have the discipline to save, try it at home first.

6 Comments

Have I mentioned how much I

Have I mentioned how much I love your articles on Money and the economy! You always state things so perfectly so the "not so wise me" can understand it. Thanks Thanks Thanks

thanks mitch

Love reading your advice! Do you have any suggestions about repaying student debt? I was told to pay it off slowly, as it is better to invest as much as you can, since the value will increase more than the interest on the debt will. Does that still hold true?

editor

hey mitch

been enjoying your posts ~ i like the glass half full angle, and try to approach things that way as much and as often as possible.

i have a request for a possible future topic, in two parts. first, we all know the whole thing about how the first step in saving money is always to get out of debt. does that mean every cent of debt? like, of course get rid of those high interest credit cards, but what about student loans? do i have to scrounge around for another 10 years paying that off before starting to save? it seems logical, but counter-intuitive to the other mantra so often pounded into our heads "the power of compound interest is your friend!!! save as early as you can, as much as you can!!!"

part 2: besides living in major metropoli, and having an active passport (and btw - i think it's cuz we as "outsiders" always gotta have an evacuation plan... i know, pessimistic), some of us (me!) don't have "traditional" jobs with traditional 401 K's (whatever those are)... and etc. i'm talking about struggling artists, working under the table, trying to stretch our handfulls of coins into dollars. (should i get an insured cd? what's an insured cd? i've been hearing lots about insured cd's lately...) anyhow, long story short, what's the best way for a broke-ass lesbo to save for when the dollar goes up in value again? (notice: i said when, not if ; )

author

Another 5 years... 10 years

Katina,

Thanks for your comment and questions.

For both your questions, I would encourage you to read my post on the 5 Year Plan, and then (the much harder part) actually sit down and take a stab at writing the plan out. Use real numbers and do it the way that makes the most sense to you - whether that's in a spreadsheet or drawn out by hand with a sharpie.

To respond to your specific question - It sounds like you already have a good idea of how to go about things. Yes, pay down those high interest rate credit cards first. Plug your credit debt numbers into one of those debt calculators I've linked to in my earlier blogs, and you'll see how much money you could be throwing away on interest payments. Student loans, though, tend to be fairly low interest rate loans. Don't worry about paying the whole thing off. If you can get together a plan that would enable you to pay the loan off early, plug those numbers into the debt calculator and see how much you would save.

Mitch

You're Unfailingly Optimistic

Mitch, thank you for your optimism in times that look economically bleak. I have a few comments on your blog.

First, for those of us who invested in foreign mutual funds a few years ago (2-5), we've seen the value soar compared to US investment funds. This is gratifying. It doesn't look like these investments could possibly lose as much as US funds have in comparison. Does this mean that foreign investments are likely to continue to outperform US companies, or can globalization reverse that trend?

Related to that, is this a good time to sink some investment money into US Mutual Funds? Or is that literally a sinking investment?

Related to the idea of small business owners beginning to market outside the US, is now a good time to look at investing in US companies that are expanding their overseas business? (That means companies that use solely domestic materials to manufacture goods or provide services.)

Having lived in Canada for a couple of years, it's my understanding that it isn't very easy for an American citizen to work in Canada. I believe you either have to get a job for a US company which usually pays in American $, be recruited by a Canadian company that can get a work permit for you, get landed immigrant status by marrying your Canadian girlfriend (which is a long and thorough process), or work for unreported cash. Is that understanding correct?

Lezbeth

author

Opportunistic

Lezbeth,

Thanks for your comment. I think of myself as more opportunistic than optimistic, actually. Before I started blogging, Grace worried that my bearish outlook on the US economy would scare folks away, actually.

You make a good point about the immigration. I have a way of making things sound easier than they are, so I hope other readers appreciate this info you've provided about Canada.

As far as your investment questions... you may have noticed I tend to avoid giving stock market advice. There are many reasons for that. One primary reason, though, is that I am sort of writing against the assumption that the economy = the stock market = how to make money. We have so many other relationships to the economy in our lives and so many other ways of creating wealth for ourselves.

To respond to your question, though: One principle that I've already put out there is that it's generally a good strategy to sell your winners and buy your losers. It sounds like you have had a great winning strategy thus far - don't forget to pull some gains out for yourself and/or diversify. Diversification is a basic principle that I'm sure you know well, but it's easy to forget that when one asset type outperforms others, the portfolio holdings automatically get less diverse.

For your second question, it sounds like you're sophisticated enough about the markets to make that call yourself. All that I would add is that it's hard to go wrong with dividends right now. Cash is king in a market like this.

Mitch